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Significant rise in HSD & MS Prices, as KC predicted in PGEC & covered in KQU and KC Recommendations

03 April 2026

Author: Mr Asif S Kasbati (FCA, FCMA & LLB).

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========================================================================================================================
From: Asif Siddiq Kasbati <asif.s.kasbati@professional-excellence.com>
Date: Fri, Apr 3, 2026 at 6:45 PM
Subject: PGEC206= Significant rise in HSD & MS Prices, as KC predicted in PGEC & covered in KQU and KC Recommendations
 

POL, Gas & Electricity Quick Commentary PGEC 206

 

A. Background

 

You would recall that as per PGEC 198 of 13.3.26, we predicted price increase, but the Price Differential of Rs. 75.05/ltr and Rs. 49.63/ ltr on HSD and Petrol / MS respectively from 14.3.26 to 20.3.26, however, Govt agreed to bear the burden of Rs 23 billion for certain period and paid to the OMC (instead of charging to Consumers) from 14.3.26 to 20.3.26 as covered PGEC 199 of 16.3.26.

 

Thereafter vide PGEC 200 of 16.3.26 (in trail, in blue and italics), we again predicted MS & HSD increase by 15% to 30% price based on the earlier increase as above. It was then suggested to keep Vehicle tanks full to possible extent, as we were expecting price increase.

 

B.  Executive Summary - KC Prediction true, be updated and KC Recommendation

 

1. Due to above as predicted and sudden increase International POL prices as covered in KQU everyday, there is an increase in HSD & MS prices by 52% and 43% effective today.

  

2. We again recommend to keep relevant relevant vehicles tanks almost full, to save millions owing as even further increase in International Prices and regularly refer to our KQU, PGEC & TLQC and take actions on a timely basis.


 

3. Moreover, consider increasing the prices of your products and / or services as much as possible, keeping in view competitive market and their product price increase. 


 

4 Increase Employees fuel benefit / Temporary allowance to cover Travelling and consequent Inflation on a Temporaty OR consider work from home for few days per week to save fuel / travel expenses for those days. 


 

5. Upon Normalizing the situation, the mattes in para 3 & 4 can be back to pre-war situations.      


 

6. Namaz & Dua from Almightly for Ummah unity and end the Unnecessary War by US & Israel on Iran (which lead to retaliations and POL price increase, etc), Palestine & Several Muslim Countries and Hidayat to all Culprits Governements.  

 

C. Price Changes details – effective today

 

Further to KQU 3845 of 3.4.26 being an Important matter, we would inform you about POL price Notification 2.4.26 (Attachment CS229.1) in the ensuing paragraph, in Italic with emphasis in bold heading ours for quick reading.

 

Due to continuous increase in the international prices of petroleum products, Govt of Pakistan has decided to increase the prices of petroleum products in the country w.e.f 3.4.26 as per following details;

 

Fuel Type

Old Price (Rs/L)

New Price (Rs/L)

Increase

Petrol (MS)

321.17

458.41

+137.24

Diesel (HSD)

335.86

520.35

+184.49

 

This significant adjustment is likely to intensify inflationary pressures, increase transportation and production costs, and further burden consumers and businesses across the country.

 

D. List of PGEC (without prefix) other relevant QCs with prefix EIQC

 

(a) 205 of 31.3.26 about Aramco HOBC @ Rs 200/Litre less than PSO, Shell, Caltex, etc

(b) 204 of 28.3.26 about Govt focuses on Stability amid Energy Price shocks

(c) 203 of 28.3.26 about Unnecessary US-Israel War on Iran & Highly Amazing Predictions 

(d) 202 of 27.3.26 about HOBC/V Power is necessary for High Value Cars - Myth or Reality - KC Views & Recommendations

(e) 201 of 24.3.26 about HOBC/V Power increased as predicted and No more HOBC/V Power & Other Recommendations

(f) 198 of 13.3.26 about Petrol Price expected to rise by Rs 15 to Rs 78 from 14.3.26 and KC Recommendations for huge savings

(g) 199 of 16.3.26 about Petrol & Diesel Price increase by Rs 49.63 & Rs 75.05 as KC predicted but Burden taken by Govt

(h) EIQC437 of 13.3.26 about Project Inflation at different POL prices and KC Views & Recommendations 

(j) EIQC 436 of 11.3.26 about February 2026 Inflation CPIU +6.8%, etc & Entity Products' Prices & Fees Re-Fixation

(k) 197 of 10.3.26 about Pakistan Significant POL Prices Increase VS 13 Countries and KC Views cum Recommendations 

(l) 196 of 7.3.26 about HOBC Benefits & KC Recommendations & 3 POL Items' Prices Significant Increase as predicted and further increase expected

 

E. Further Details & Services

 

Should you require any clarification or explanations in respect of the above or otherwise, please feel free to email Mr Amsal at amsal@kasbati.co with CC to info.kasbati@professional-excellence.com.


 

Best regards for Here & Hereafter
Asif S Kasbati (FCA, FCMA & LLB)

Managing Partner 

Kasbati & Co (1400+ Tax, Levies, Companies, Economy, Inflation, HR, Banking, Finance, etc

    Quick Commentary Service Provider and High Level 440+ Tax & Levies Laws Consultants) 

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